August 25, 2021

  GFS Forecast: analysis time: 12Z 2021-08-21 :: valid time: 22Z 2021-08-24( Alaska LT: Tue. 2021-08-25 13:00PM)


Links to plots Below

Sea ice contours: 15% (blue), 50% (black), 90% (red)

2-m temperature contour: -1.8 °C

U/V transect contour: 0 m/s 


Update [17:00PM, Sat., Aug 21, 2021 PST]:

  • The low near 150 °W and the low to the west merged to a multicenter system with a southern center north of Barrow. GFS and ECMWF (from Windy) largely agrees. This means the flight path will need to go through the cyclone. 
  • The visibility and the ceiling are not ideal for the first three stations.
  • The surface temperature is slightly below -2 °C for the fourth station. Might need to be careful about slush when dropping AXCTDs.

 


    • Flight information (gray vertical lines shows the five stations, from right to left)

2021-08-25 13PM Alaska LT

2021-08-25 13PM Alaska LT


  • Pan-Arctic maps

Sea ice concentration at analysis time

Mean sea leve pressure at valid time

700 hPa Geopotential Height

700 hPa temperature

700 hPa relative humidity

700 hPa wind speed

Visibility

Visibility

Ceiling height

Low-level cloud cover

 

  • Beaufort and Chukchi seasonal ice zone (the map is centered at 150 °W)

Sea ice concentration at analysis time

Mean sea leve pressure at valid time

2-m air temperature

2-m relative humidty

Visibility

Ceiling height

 

  • Flight conditions at different altitudes along 150 °W

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